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Severe Weather ?

Discussion in 'Everything Else (off topic)' started by thewoodlands, Feb 2, 2017.

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  1. Unicorn1

    Unicorn1

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    The shop area was just seal coated and the weather is a constant rumble of thunder. Google is saying 24 hours before I can drive on it, the truck and trailer are stuck in the grass until said time.:( 20170825_150007.jpg 20170825_150012.jpg
     
    Last edited: Aug 25, 2017
    Unicorn1, Aug 25, 2017
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  2. SKEETER McCLUSKEY

    SKEETER McCLUSKEY

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    stay safe!!
     
    SKEETER McCLUSKEY, Aug 25, 2017
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  3. Well Seasoned

    Well Seasoned Administrator

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    Well Seasoned, Aug 25, 2017
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  4. Well Seasoned

    Well Seasoned Administrator

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    Irma should be watched. Very big storm, cat 2, expecting to become a cat 4. Hopefully the high pressure allows it to continue its track towards the U.S. and then it to turn north. Unfortunately, some good weather tracking models have it possibly keeping a westerly approach, leaving the gulf of Mexico in its sights, or even the east coast, SE coast very possible. We'll know where it ends up in another week.


    Screenshot_20170831-202641.png
     
    Well Seasoned, Aug 31, 2017
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  5. HDRock

    HDRock

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    How you doin down there Unicorn1
     
    HDRock, Aug 31, 2017
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  6. thewoodlands

    thewoodlands

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    I'm sticking with the euro model which has it heading to the gulf, we'll see what they say on Saturday but it looks like a monster of a storm from what I saw today.
     
    thewoodlands, Aug 31, 2017
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  7. Well Seasoned

    Well Seasoned Administrator

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    The "I" named storms are never good!
     
    Well Seasoned, Aug 31, 2017
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  8. thewoodlands

    thewoodlands

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    This was from yesterday.
    [​IMG]
     
    thewoodlands, Sep 1, 2017
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  9. thewoodlands

    thewoodlands

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    [​IMG]
    The 0Z September 2, 2017, track forecast by the operational European model for Irma (red line, but adjusted by CFAN using a proprietary technique that takes into account storm motion since 0Z), along with the track of the average of the 50 members of the European model ensemble (heavy black line), and the track forecasts from the “high probability cluster” (grey lines)—the four European model ensemble members that have performed best with Irma thus far, as of 6Z Saturday, show that the Bahamas, U.S., Canada, and Cuba might be at highest risk of a strike. Image credit: CFAN.
     
    thewoodlands, Sep 2, 2017
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  10. thewoodlands

    thewoodlands

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    It changes everyday but Irma has a good chance hitting Florida,South & North Carolina,West Virginia and up the coast.

    We'll see what they say in a few days.
     
    thewoodlands, Sep 3, 2017
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  11. Gasifier

    Gasifier

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    My daughter is in Myrtle and I told her several days ago to be watching it close. I was hoping it was going to swing east and miss the U.S. Still hoping for that.
     
    Gasifier, Sep 3, 2017
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  12. thewoodlands

    thewoodlands

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    I hope it does Gasifier.
     
    thewoodlands, Sep 3, 2017
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  13. Well Seasoned

    Well Seasoned Administrator

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    Well Seasoned, Sep 3, 2017
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  14. Well Seasoned

    Well Seasoned Administrator

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    Screenshot_20170904-121938.png
     
    Well Seasoned, Sep 4, 2017
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  15. Well Seasoned

    Well Seasoned Administrator

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    Screenshot_20170904-154339.png
     
    Well Seasoned, Sep 4, 2017
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  16. thewoodlands

    thewoodlands

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    Today it looks like Florida,Georgia,Tennessee,Kentucky, the west part of West Virginia,PA, the southern tier of NY and then Mass will get hit but I'm sure it will change overnight.
     
    thewoodlands, Sep 4, 2017
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  17. Well Seasoned

    Well Seasoned Administrator

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    Agree..... the high pressure that was in the Atlantic steered it more west, while another high pressure will cross Texas on east, steering this beast N/NE. I suspect it annihilates the islands, clips the east coast of Florida, strengthens in the warm Atlantic again and hits N & S Carolina thru Delaware moving inland following the jet stream into the Virginia's, heading NE, with tropical storm conditions straight up weakening only a little by the time it moves off the coast in Maine. We're all potentially gonna feel this thing.

    The question is, will this hit as a cat 5 or greater??
     
    Well Seasoned, Sep 4, 2017
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  18. thewoodlands

    thewoodlands

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    Which forecast model are you following, I'm sure it's in the above post but I'm scroll up lazy tonight.:D
     
    thewoodlands, Sep 4, 2017
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  19. Well Seasoned

    Well Seasoned Administrator

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    I'm following many, Bernie says watch the euro to be the winner. He continues to use basic meteorology- blasting all the weather people only using the models as guides.
     
    Well Seasoned, Sep 4, 2017
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  20. thewoodlands

    thewoodlands

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    The red line in the picture should be the euro model from what I can see, it's route 5.JPG changed from yesterday.
     
    thewoodlands, Sep 4, 2017
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