Hurricane Matthew

I would be bugging out if it were me.

 

Right there with you amigo. I lived down there for 10 years and a cat 4 isn't a joke. The Florida natives just took it in stride somehow.

 

My uncle who lived up here most of his life is going to ride the thing out, he's made it through a few of them so what's another one (his words), I hope they are ok.

 

Hurricane Matthew Enhanced Satellite View | Hurricane and Hurricane coverage from MyFoxHurricane.com

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WTNT44 KNHC 052040
TCDAT4

HURRICANE MATTHEW DISCUSSION NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
500 PM EDT WED OCT 05 2016

Data from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter plane a couple of hours ago
indicated that the structure of Matthew had not changed very much,
and the initial intensity remains at 105 kt. Another Hurricane
Hunter plane will be in the eye soon. The environment continues to
be favorable for Matthew to restrengthen while it approaches the
the east coast of Florida during the next day or so. After that
time, the shear is forecast to increase significantly, resulting in
gradual weakening of the hurricane.

Satellite images indicate that Matthew is moving toward the
northwest or 325 degrees at about 10 kt. The subtropical ridge over
the western Atlantic is still strong, and the flow pattern around
this ridge should continue to steer the hurricane toward the
northwest during the next day or two with no significant change in
forward speed. After that time, the ridge will shift eastward,
allowing Matthew to move northward very near or over the north
Florida east coast, and then near or to the east of the Georgia and
South Carolina coasts. By the end of the forecast period, models
diverge considerably, with the GFS moving the cyclone southwestward
toward land, and the ECMWF keeping Matthew over the Atlantic a good
distance from the coast. The NHC forecast keeps Matthew over water
in the middle of these two model solutions.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. Matthew is likely to produce devastating impacts from storm
surge, extreme winds, and heavy rains in the Bahamas. Please
consult statements from the meteorological service and other
government officials in that country.

2. When a hurricane is forecast to take a track roughly parallel
to a coastline, as Matthew is forecast to do from Florida through
South Carolina, it becomes very difficult to specify impacts at
any one location. For example, only a small deviation of the track
to the left of the NHC forecast could bring the core of a major
hurricane onshore within the hurricane warning area in Florida.
However, a small deviation to the right could keep the hurricane-
force winds offshore. Similarly large variations in impacts are
possible in the hurricane watch area in northern Florida and
Georgia.

3. Tropical storm or hurricane conditions could affect South
Carolina and North Carolina later this week or this weekend, even if
the center of Matthew remains offshore. It is too soon to determine
what, if any, land areas might be directly affected by Matthew next
week. At a minimum, dangerous beach and boating conditions are
likely along much of the U.S. east coast during the next several
days.

4. The National Hurricane Center is issuing Potential Storm Surge
Flooding Maps, and Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphics for
Matthew. It is important to remember that the Potential Storm Surge
Flooding Map does not represent a forecast of expected inundation,
but rather depicts a reasonable worst-case scenario - the amount of
inundation that has a 10 percent chance of being exceeded. In
addition, because the Flooding Map is based on inputs that extend
out only to about 72 hours, it best represents the flooding
potential in those locations within the watch and warning areas in
Florida and Georgia.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/2100Z 22.5N 75.7W 105 KT 120 MPH
12H 06/0600Z 24.0N 76.9W 110 KT 125 MPH
24H 06/1800Z 25.6N 78.5W 115 KT 130 MPH
36H 07/0600Z 27.2N 79.8W 115 KT 130 MPH
48H 07/1800Z 29.0N 80.8W 115 KT 130 MPH
72H 08/1800Z 32.0N 79.5W 90 KT 105 MPH
96H 09/1800Z 32.6N 76.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
120H 10/1800Z 30.0N 74.0W 65 KT 75 MPH

 

Use the step forward to see the landfall in Florida and up the coast.
WRF Atlantic Model | Hurricane and Tropical Storm coverage from MyFoxHurricane.com

 

Prayers that they remain safe.

 

A good good friend of ours (female) and her daughter just flew into Daytona on Monday as her father is in hospice care and her mother called to say he may not make it much longer. She just responded to my wife's text and said she is very nervous (understandable). My sister and brother in law live on the west coast of Florida but I'm going to give them a call.

 

Creepy?
Satellite infrared: Hurricane Matthew or creepy skull?

 

I thought that I saw it was going to head out to sea in the atlantic. However; it looks like that model was wrong. Cat 4 is not something to play with. Hope anyone in his path stays safe or evacuates ahead of time. If RI does get it, it will not be until next much later and most likely weaker.

 

My brother and his wife live in Florida. They are is one of those typical double wides. He says his place has some sort of hurricane tie downs. that are intended to help keep the place from flying off the base. I don't know how that can be when you consider how the place is constructed in the first place. He owns one of the older ones.

 

I just saw a new report, it's tracking further west so it looks like a few areas could get hit even worse. I would post it but it was on TV.

 

Last place I want to be in a bad storm is in a mobile home unless it's buried in the ground.
My aunt, up north in Cadillac Michigan, took a one mile ride, during a tornado in her mobile home and survived, with just scrapes and bruises

 

Just talked to my sister who is in New Smyrna Beach. They just packed up and were heading to Portland,OR to see my niece.

Gary

 

So, what did the storm do to Cuba?

 

I haven't seen the news...any word on things in Haiti? We have friends that just moved there last week

 

Another friend on Ladys Island South Carolina was going to stay but I think I talked her into leaving and head west for a bit....I just got off the phone with her....

 

Photos: What happened to Haiti after Hurricane Matthew

 

Unless it has rafter tie downs I would not stay. If he is anywhere near the storm's path I would try to convince him to leave. What happens is the roof tears off then the walls can blow down. I hope he stays safe.

 

Another tropical depression has formed that may push the hurricane to the west. We need to keep a close watch on this one.